Key events
Rishi Sunak’s satisfaction rating with Tory members hits record low, survey suggests
Conservative party members are more dissatisfied than ever with Rishi Sunak, a survey for ConservativeHome suggests. In its latest monthly survey, ConHome found that Sunak had a net satisfaction rating of -27.7 (total satisfied with how heâs doing minus total dissatisfied). Only Michael Tomlinson, the illegal migration minister who attends cabinet, is doing worse.
Sunakâs previous worst score on this measure was in December 2023, when he was on -26.5. In early February he was on -18.4 and last month he was on -23.1.
The survey also found a record number of ministers are deemed to be underperforming by ministers. In its write-up ConHome says:
Last month, we saw an unhappy record broken in the history of the Cabinet League Table with 11 ministers in negative ratings. Well, turns out that record stood for only a month: this time itâs 12.
At the other end of the scale, Kemi Badenoch has returned to the top spot, from which she was briefly ousted last month by Penny Mordaunt. These two, along with Johnny Mercer, have been swapping places on the podium for five months; the last time anyone else broke into the top three was in our October survey, when James Cleverly topped the poll.
Although it is a survey, not a weighted poll, the results of ConHome surveys of Tory members have turned out to be a reasonably good guide to opinion in the party ahead of leadership elections.
George Osborne rates David Cameron so highly that, as well as describing him as âacting like the British prime ministerâ on the world stage (see 9.30am), he even suggested in one recent edition of his Political Currency podcast that Keir Starmer should keep him on as foreign secretary.
A move like that would be unprecedented in recent UK politics, but it happens from time to time in the US. When Barack Obama became president, he retained Robert Gates as his defence secretary even though Gates had worked for his Republican predecessor, George W Bush.
In an interview on ITVâs Good Morning Britain, Ed Balls, who co-presents Political Currency, asked Cameron about Osborneâs proposal. Cameron ruled it out, saying:
Thereâs absolutely no prospect of that happening. Iâm a Conservative and Iâm proud to be working for a Conservative government.
Iâm very happy to be serving under Rishi Sunak. Iâm a Conservative. I work for Conservative governments. I did lead a coalition government, but thatâs as far as Iâm taking it.
David Cameron claims Tories deserve to win election and says recovery for party not impossible
Good morning. David Cameron, the foreign secretary and former prime minister, has been touring the studios this morning doing an interview round on behalf of No 10. When he made his surprise comeback to cabinet in November last year, there were suggestions that he might be doing quite a lot of this, as a general spokesperson for the government, because he is such a good communicator. But perhaps heâs a bit too good for No 10âs taste. Sunakâs team wonât have been happy about George Osborne, Cameronâs friend and former chancellor, describing him on his podcast recently as âacting like the British prime ministerâ on the world stage. According to Politico, this is the first time since his appointment Cameron has done a weekday morning broadcast round.
Cameronâs main message has been to urge Israel not to reliate after the mass missile and drone attack from Iran on Saturday night was repulsed almost entirely. Israel should âtake the winâ, he said (using President Bidenâs phrase). Cameron told Times Radio:
The best thing to do in the case of Israel is to recognise this has been a failure for Iran.
And so they should, as President Biden has said to them, as it were, take the win and then move on to focus on how to eradicate Hamas in Gaza and how to get those hostages free â¦
I think we have to be sensitive in the way we put this [to Israel], but to say âlook, you have had a win because the Iran attack was such a failure and the smart thing to do as well as the tough thing to do now is actually not to escalateâ.
But most of our coverage of that conflict is on our Middle East crisis live blog. Martin Belam is writing it this morning, and he has more on Cameronâs Israel/Iran words here.
Cameron confirmed that Rishi Sunak will make a statement to MPs about the Israel/Iran situation this afternoon. But he also had some upbeat words for Conservatives about their election prospects. When LBCâs Nick Ferrari put it to him that his record as an election winner made him the equivalent of Manchester Unitedâs Alex Ferguson, and asked if he had any advice for Sunak, whom Ferrari described as the teamâs Erik ten Hag, Cameron suggested a Tory recovery was possible.
I prefer to point to the example of Unai Emery for [Aston] Villa yesterday who looked like they were on a losing run against Arsenal and in the last few minutes slotted into two. So anything is possible in football as in politics.
And I will be doing everything I can to help Prime Minister Sunak. Heâs a very good boss to have. Heâs the brightest person in the room, a brain the size of a planet, works incredibly hard, doing good things for this country at a difficult time. Inflation is coming down, interest rates are falling, taxes are coming down. Weâve got a plan, the other lot havenât, and I canât wait to get on the campaign trail.
In a separate interview with Sky News, he refused to say when he thought the election should take place, saying Sunak should call it âwhenever he thinks itâs rightâ.
He also ruled out trying to become prime minister again. Replacing Sunak with Cameron is one of the many improbable/implausible/bonkers ideas floated by Tories a possible survival strategy in recent weeks, but Cameron is not intererested. Asked by Skyâs Kay Burley, in what circumstances he would consider becoming PM again, Cameron replied:
None. Iâm not applying for this job [being PM]. Iâm very happy to be working as foreign secretary.
Here is the agenda for the day.
11.30am: Downing Street holds a lobby briefing.
2.30pm: James Cleverly, the home secretary, takes questions in the Commons.
3.30pm: Sir Matthew Rycroft, permanent secretary at the Home Office, gives evidence to the public accounts committee about the Rwanda scheme.
After 3.30pm: Rishi Sunak makes a statement to MPs about Israel and Iran.
Late afternoon: MPs debate the latest Lords amendments to the safety of Rwanda (asylum and immigration) bill.
Also, Sadiq Khan, the Labour mayor of London, is formally announcing plans to eliminate rough sleeping in the capital.
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