House prices could be spurred higher if the Bank of England cuts interest rates (as expected) next month, says Matt Thompson, head of sales at estate agent Chestertons:

“Lower interest rates and sub-4% mortgage products saw more house hunters start their property search in September. The uplift in buyer activity, and looming changes to Capital Gains Tax in the upcoming Autumn Budget, also motivated sellers to put their property up for sale. We expect this level of market activity to continue and could see an additional boost in buyer motivation if the Bank of England decides to cut interest rates in November.”

Mark Harris, chief executive of mortgage broker SPF Private Clients, says:

“Lenders continue to reduce their mortgage rates, which is encouraging buyers to make their move. The Bank of England Governor’s comments about a more aggressive approach to rate setting should feed through to even lower mortgage pricing.

“Several lenders repriced downwards last week, including HSBC, NatWest, Barclays and Santander. Two-year fixes are now available from 3.84 per cent while the cheapest five-year fix is pegged at 3.68 per cent, which will prove to be more palatable for borrowers than some of the higher rates they have been paying recently.

“This ongoing rate war among lenders is great news for borrowers as there are some really compelling deals being launched, which will go some way to helping affordability.”

Tom Bill, head of UK residential research, Knight Frank, suggests there might be a “relief bounce” after this month’s budget:

“The last two years have underlined the close relationship between mortgage rates and house prices – as one goes up the other goes down. We expect low single-digit price growth this year as rates continue to drift lower, with the Budget the main cause of uncertainty on the horizon.

If it better than feared, there is likely to be a relief bounce in activity before Christmas that lasts into next spring.”

Halifax reports that Northern Ireland continues to record the strongest property price growth of any nation or region in the UK.

The average price of a property in Northern Ireland is now £203,593, after prices rose by. 9.7% on an annual basis in September.

House prices in Wales rose by 4.4% to an average of £224,119.

Scotland saw a more modest rise in house prices, up 2.1%, meaning a typical property now costs £205,718.

Across England, the North West recorded the strongest house price growth of any region in England, up by +5.1% over the last year, to sit at £234,355.

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.

UK house prices have risen for the third straight month, lender Halifax reports this morning, helped by lower borrowing costs.

According to Halifax, the average house price rose by 0.3% in September to £293,399, up from £292,540 in August, which pushed the annual growth rate up to 4.7%.

This left the average price only a little short of the record high of £293,507 set in June 2022, on Halifax’s index, before the market started to slide in autumn 2022 after the mini-budget pushed up mortgage rates.

Amanda Bryden, Head of Mortgages at Halifax, says improved mortgage affordability is stimulating the market.

But, she adds, it’s “essential” to view these recent gains in context.

Bryden explains:

While the typical property value has risen by around £13,000 over the past year, this increase is largely a recovery of the ground lost over the previous 12 months. Looking back two years, prices have increased by just +0.4% (£1,202).

Market conditions have steadily improved over the summer and into early autumn. Mortgage affordability has been easing thanks to strong wage growth and falling interest rates. This has boosted confidence among potential buyers, with the number of mortgages agreed up over 40% in the last year and now at their highest level since July 2022.

While improved mortgage affordability should continue to support buyer activity – boosted by anticipated further cuts to interest rates – housing costs remain a challenge for many. As a result we expect property price growth over the rest of this year and into next to remain modest.”

The agenda

• 7am BST: Halifax house price index for September

• 7am BST: German factory orders for August

• 9.30am BST: Sentix survey of eurozone investor confidence

• 10am BST: Eurozone retail sales for August